Do you remember that old University “first day” story about the professor that gets in front of the class and says “look to your left, now look to your right. Next year one of you won’t be here”.
I’m going to do some forecasting and make a similar statement about the future cellular market. We have 3 new companies opening shop in the next 6 months, and my prediction is that two of the 3 cell companies won’t be around in 1 year.
Here’s my prediction of what the market will look like next year at this time:
One of the cell companies will have trouble launching. Their technology will be rife with problems, which in turn will strain their customer service department with phone calls. A negative sentiment will set-in fairly quickly – they won’t make it past the one year mark.
One of the cell companies will launch successfully, but, they will struggle to differentiate themselves from the competition and will find it difficult to fund the expansion beyond the first year. Plans won’t materialize as expected, and they will be forced to sell the business at a discounted price to one of the incumbents.
One of the cell companies will launch successfully, will understand the marketing, customer service, and pricing model, and will become a formidable competitive force in the Canadian cellular marketplace.
My crystal ball suggests that – one year from this December, we will have 4 well established cellular players in Canada. Bell, Telus, Rogers, and ______________________ (FILL IN THE BLANK)
Who might that be ? Read on …
And, check back Thursday for the continuation of this post. This posting is part of a 4 part series on a re-cap of the new cell companies (Pubic Mobile, Dave Wireless, and Wind Mobile) coming to Canada, a round-out, analysis, and perspective on who will succeed, and who will fail.
More: TheTelecomBlog.com has profiled all 3 new carriers in previous posts. You can read about them:
Coming to Canada this Fall – profiling Public Mobile
Coming to Canada this Fall – profiling Wind Mobile
Coming this winter to Canada. Profiling Dave Wireless.
Written by: Jeff Wiener. www.digitcom.ca. Follow TheTelecomBlog.com by: RSS, Twitter, Identi.ca, or Friendfeed
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I called my Mom on my way home from work yesterday evening and she asked me how the
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If you have been following my blog you would know that we, actually my wife, is working on moving our home and TV services from Bell to Rogers. Not an exercise for the faint of heart ! And not something I’m particularly keen of either. Not that I have a huge affinity for Bell, but, my preference was to leave well enough alone. Bell works, and we’ve been with them for years.
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Have you ever heard of PRI ? How do PRI rates compare from city to city ? Country to country ?
I wrote a
Notice the title – “my wife” is moving us from Bell to Rogers. This isn’t my doing, in fact, if it were my decision I would leave well enough alone. Our home phone and cable have been with Bell for years (although our internet is with Rogers), and we have been running quite successfully, without incident, for the same length of time.
It apparently does, and the incumbents (Bell, Telus, Rogers) are pissed – why ? Well, here’s the new kid on the block that’s going to rain on their parade. If you were one of three firms operating in an oligopoly ripping consumers off for so many years, and a new competitive threat was knocking on the door, wouldn’t you do anything you could to stop the new companies from entering the market ?
Well sort of ! Don’t get too excited just yet. But, read on …
Coming to Canada in early winter 2010, ready and armed to compete with the incumbents Bell, Telus, and Rogers – Dave Wireless.
